Syntalium Wiki
Setup Expiry and Invalidation
TL;DR
A setup has a validity window. Once that window has closed — through expiry (time elapsed) or invalidation (conditions broken by price action) — the plan is no longer active. Acting on an expired or invalidated setup is an execution error, not a delayed entry.
Risk notice: General market intelligence, not personalized investment advice. You remain responsible for any trading or investment decision.
What expiry means
Every published setup has a validity window — a time range during which the market conditions that produced the signal are considered still relevant. Once that window closes, the setup is considered expired, regardless of whether price has moved toward or away from the entry zone.
Expiry is a function of the timeframe and the nature of the market conditions at publication time. A setup produced under a particular hourly context may only remain valid for a defined number of hours. After expiry, the setup is not shown.
- Expired setup
- A setup whose validity window has elapsed. The plan fields that were published are no longer presented because the conditions they described have had sufficient time to resolve or change.
- What expiry is not
- Expiry is not a guarantee that the trade has failed or succeeded. It is a time boundary on the relevance of the plan. Expiry simply means: this plan is too old to be treated as current.
- After expiry
- When a setup expires, the platform displays NO PUBLISHED SETUP (or WAIT, depending on the evaluation result of the next cycle). A new setup, if any, must come from a new publication.
What invalidation means
Invalidation is distinct from expiry. It happens when a specific price level is breached that renders the original setup premise void. The stop loss level, if defined in the published plan, acts as the invalidation price.
- Stop level breached
- If the market trades through or beyond the stop loss level published with the setup, the setup's core assumption is broken. This is invalidation by price action.
- Structural break
- Some setups are described as invalidated when a structural market level — not just the stop — is breached. The published state reasons or market DNA may reflect this shift.
- What invalidation means practically
- An invalidated setup is no longer a valid plan. If you have entered on this setup, the invalidation event is typically the signal that the original risk assumption is gone — not a reason to hold and hope.
How freshness relates to validity
Freshness (FRESH / STALE / NO_DATA) reflects the age of the underlying market data relative to the expected threshold — not the age of the setup itself. The two are related but separate:
- FRESH + active setup
- The underlying data is within threshold, and the setup is within its validity window. This is the only combination where all plan fields should be read and considered.
- STALE + active setup
- The setup may still be within its nominal window, but the underlying data is older than expected. Do not act on a setup with STALE data — the conditions the plan was built on may have changed.
- FRESH + expired setup
- Data is current, but the setup window has closed. The platform will show NO PUBLISHED SETUP or a new cycle state. Expiry stands regardless of freshness.
What happens after expiry
When a setup expires, the published plan fields are withheld. The platform returns to a withholding state — WAIT, NO TRADE, or UNAVAILABLE — until a new cycle produces a new signal, if any.
No residual plan is displayed. The platform does not carry forward entry, stop, or target values from an expired signal. Each published setup is self-contained.
What to do
- Check timestamp on arrival
- When you first view a setup, check the published-at timestamp. If significant time has passed, assess whether the setup is approaching or past expiry.
- Do not enter after expiry
- If a setup has expired, there is no valid plan to execute. Do not reconstruct an entry from previously seen plan fields.
- Do not enter after invalidation
- If price has moved through the stop level, the plan is broken. The original entry zone and targets no longer apply to the current market context.
- Wait for the next signal
- After expiry or invalidation, the correct action is to wait for the next valid publication — not to force a trade based on a lapsed plan.